The percentage of Democrats choosing absentee by mail has declined since May while their intention to vote in-person on Election Day has increased. Among all registered voters, 43% say “cares about people like you” describes Trump and 54% say this does not describe him. To assess the probable impact of their votes, an “allocated” vote assigns these respondents to Biden if they have a favorable view of Biden and not a favorable view of Trump and assigns them to Trump if they are favorable to Trump and not favorable to Biden. There are substantial differences in perceived debate performance by partisanship, as shown in Table 2. For Sen. Kamala Harris, 25% say they are very confident and 20% are somewhat confident in her ability to perform the duties of president, while 11% are not very confident and 29% are not at all confident. March-October 2020. Table 1 shows the trend in presidential preference among likely voters from September through October. Table 17: Do you think the decision last spring to close schools and businesses and to restrict the size of public gatherings was an appropriate response to the coronavirus outbreak or was it an overreaction that did more harm than good? According to the Wisconsin Elections Commission data, 37.5% of registered voters had voted as of the end of the poll’s field period on Oct. 25. After six months of elevated approval ratings, approval of Gov. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) October 7, … News and results will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. Among Biden supporters, 95% say their minds are made up. Table 18: Tony Evers’ job approval, January-October 2020. While substantial majorities in all regions support a mask requirement, there are partisan differences which have persisted since August, as shown in Table 7. The poll will also look at how people have responded to the protests in support of the Black Lives Matter movement and how those responses have changed since June, as well as feelings about police use of deadly force and how President Trump has responded to the protests. The margin for Trump among Election Day voters has declined over time, while Biden’s advantage among absentee and early in-person voters has remained strong over the last two months. Trump has held a 42% favorable rating since June, with 53-to-55% unfavorable. There are 749 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Those results also included those who were undecided but leaned to a candidate. The poll was conducted Sept. 8-15. Partisanship excluding those who lean has been 30% Republican and 29% Democratic, with 40% independent. Table 3: Vote for likely voters and allocated vote, respectively. Table 23: Gov. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. This is the final Marquette Law School poll before the November 3 election. Twenty-seven percent of likely voters say they are very confident that the votes will be accurately cast and counted in the election, with 43% somewhat confident, 21% not too confident and 7% not at all confident. Among respondents interviewed Oct. 2-4, after Trump announced that he had tested positive for COVID-19, 33% say they think he has a mild case, 13% say it is a moderate case, 8% say it is a serious case and 3% say it is a very serious case. They were also announced via Marquette Law poll’s Twitter. Another 7% said they would vote for none of these candidates, didn’t know how they would vote or declined to say. The latest coronavirus information and updates. After an initial approval rating in March of over 50% for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, Trump’s approval on this front has fallen to 40 percent in late October, a slight change since early October, with approval down 1 point and disapproval up 2 points. The vote margins may be sensitive to assumptions about turnout. Approval of protests over police violence against Black Americans declined from June to early August, prior to a police officer’s shooting Jacob Blake in Kenosha, but barely moved following the Kenosha shooting and protests, as shown in Table 20. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. Forty-eight percent say, if they were in the Senate, they would vote to confirm Barrett, while 38% would vote against her confirmation. An additional 6% said someone else or declined to say how they will vote. The video will be available at 12:15 p.m. CST on the law school website. The trend in approval and disapproval is shown in Table 19. About 48 percent of likely voters favor the former vice president, compared with 43 who back Trump, according to the poll. The sample included 805 registered voters in Wisconsin, interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points. Fifty-six percent say this describes Biden and 40% say this does not describe him. Among registered voters, 44% have a favorable view overall of Trump and 54% have an unfavorable view of him. These results are shown in Table 5. Capital Times, The Red and the Blue: Political Polarization Through the Prism of Metropolitan Milwaukee The finding is one of many from the latest Marquette Law School Poll released Wednesday, which shows Wisconsin voters otherwise largely support major initiatives Evers has proposed in his budget, with a few exceptions. In late October, 22% say they are very worried about becoming ill from the coronavirus, a decrease from 27% in early October despite the rise of cases in the state. The last Marquette Law School Poll, in early August, gave Biden a five point lead (49-44). The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School. Results and commentary will be synchronously released on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account. A substantial 37% say they don’t know how serious Trump’s illness is. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen is the choice of 4%, while 8% say they would vote for none of these candidates, don’t know how they would vote or decline to say. Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Email The latest Marquette University Law School Poll released on Wednesday shows Wisconsin voters remain steady in … While the allocation reduced the undecided, refused and other categories, it does not change the margin, which remains 5 points in favor of Biden. Following Trump’s diagnosis, 52% say both Trump and Biden should stop holding in-person campaign rallies, while 37% say rallies are safe and should continue. Twenty-one percent say they are not at all worried, virtually the same as the 19% in September. Table 2 shows vote both if turnout is lower than the likely-voter sample implies and, by contrast, if turnout is higher using all registered voters as the sample. 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